Magna Financial Market Report – Wednesday 19th March 2025

19 March 2025  

 

MARKET REPORT

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• Fed decision could weaken USD

• Lira falls and euro weakens

RECAP

Yesterday’s peace talks between Trump and Putin yielded contrasting
perspectives. According to Trump, the discussions signaled progress toward peace, while Putin disagreed, expressing frustration that his demands had not been met. Despite these differing views, one outcome was a temporary ceasefire agreement on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, and the two sides plan to resume talks on Sunday.

However, the peace talks were not the end of Trump’s busy day. The White
House confirmed that reciprocal tariffs, set to take effect on April 2nd, will proceed, sparking ongoing concerns about escalating tariff tensions. This development contributed to the further weakening of the dollar and continued pressure on US stocks. Additionally, the US financial landscape remains uncertain, with the upcoming interest rate decision adding to the tension. The
decision is expected to hinge between fears of a recession and the
consumer expectation of rising prices and inflation.

TODAY

DATA POINTS

OUR SUMMARY

As the markets await the Federal Reserve’s decision this evening, most are expecting the central bank to keep interest rates steady, with only two cuts anticipated for the remainder of the year. However, many analysts predict that the Fed will lower its growth expectations for this year, a move that could extend the
current weakness of the USD.

The euro has been one of the top performers in recent weeks, but recent events, including Putin’s refusal of the 30-day ceasefire, have led to a partial reversal of its gains. Consequently, investors are flocking to gold, seeking safety amid
growing uncertainty.

Meanwhile, Turkey’s currency, the Lira, has dropped by 5% following the arrest of President Erdogan’s main rival, Imamoglu, just days before he was set to challenge Erdogan for power. This political turmoil is causing ripples through regional markets, negatively impacting currencies such as the Hungarian Forint (HUF) and Polish Zloty (PLZ), as investors grow concerned about instability in Central Europe.

HOW WE CAN HELP

Our team of currency experts are here to help you get more from your money when making international payments. We will work with you to understand your payment needs and offer specialised guidance on the best options available to you. Get in touch with Osman Hanif today on +44 (0) 20 3371 9200 or email osman@magnafinancial.com

Magna Financial

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